Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 1.037252e-03 1.180652e-03 0.001325 0.001479 0.001641 0.001804 0.001980
2025-11-23 8.128294e-04 1.018934e-03 0.001233 0.001469 0.001721 0.001980 0.002265
2025-11-30 6.808506e-04 9.368756e-04 0.001211 0.001520 0.001855 0.002205 0.002595
2025-12-07 5.329982e-04 8.213792e-04 0.001140 0.001510 0.001917 0.002348 0.002833
2025-12-14 3.951715e-04 7.016634e-04 0.001055 0.001474 0.001944 0.002448 0.003019
2025-12-21 3.168301e-04 6.427573e-04 0.001032 0.001502 0.002038 0.002616 0.003277
2025-12-28 2.222640e-04 5.504328e-04 0.000962 0.001471 0.002061 0.002703 0.003443
2026-01-04 1.601390e-04 4.909640e-04 0.000925 0.001476 0.002119 0.002827 0.003645
2026-01-11 1.025577e-04 4.260367e-04 0.000877 0.001461 0.002153 0.002920 0.003812
2026-01-18 5.879335e-05 3.701441e-04 0.000834 0.001450 0.002189 0.003013 0.003977
2026-01-25 1.588819e-05 2.901465e-04 0.000752 0.001386 0.002159 0.003029 0.004054
2026-02-01 3.199000e-07 2.405264e-04 0.000707 0.001365 0.002177 0.003097 0.004186
2026-02-08 NaN 1.875959e-04 0.000662 0.001358 0.002230 0.003228 0.004413
2026-02-15 NaN 1.418732e-04 0.000622 0.001356 0.002290 0.003367 0.004654
2026-02-22 NaN 1.235089e-04 0.000625 0.001410 0.002419 0.003587 0.004986
2026-03-01 NaN 8.532044e-05 0.000585 0.001404 0.002472 0.003718 0.005218
2026-03-08 NaN 4.638392e-05 0.000528 0.001371 0.002491 0.003807 0.005400
2026-03-15 NaN 3.105489e-05 0.000517 0.001400 0.002585 0.003985 0.005682
2026-03-22 NaN 8.950461e-06 0.000467 0.001371 0.002604 0.004072 0.005859
2026-03-29 NaN 7.361663e-07 0.000443 0.001376 0.002665 0.004207 0.006090
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.000408 0.001362 0.002699 0.004310 0.006283
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.000377 0.001351 0.002738 0.004415 0.006477
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.000317 0.001289 0.002705 0.004435 0.006571